Page 1 of 14 12311 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 137

Thread: Analysis of Obstacle Gems

  1. #1
    Junior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Posts
    63

    Analysis of Obstacle Gems

    Since the update, I've been tracking the gems I get from clearing obstacles (I started playing a week before the update). I wanted to figure out the probabilities of each gem count appearing. My initial guess was that 1-6 would have the same probabilities, and it looked like 0 gems was about 30-40% of the time. However, after about 100 obstacles, I have the following distributions:

    # of Gems:
    0: 40%
    1: 15%
    2: 5%
    3: 10%
    4: 10%
    5: 15%
    6: 5%

    This gives an expected number of exactly 2 gems per obstacle.

    What's more, is that while I was figuring this out, I noticed an odd behavior: the number of gems matched up perfectly. For example, the number of 2s would match the number of 6s, number of 1s would match 5s, etc. This indicated that the number of gems isn't random at all. It's on a predetermined cycle. I followed this cycle for a week on two accounts, and I'm fairly confident that the number of gems cycles through this order every 20 obstacles (about once a week):

    60451320051034005010

    Edit: Based on feedback from the forum, and some more experimentation, it appears that the order is of clearing, not spawning. The one complication is obstacles that were there at the start of the game. Those don't follow the same pattern, and may interfere with the pattern if cleared later on.
    Last edited by macduff79; March 14th, 2014 at 02:55 AM. Reason: update

  2. #2
    He who has not yet claimed his title dahimi's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    Hello Kitty Adventure Island
    Posts
    10,808
    Now this is interesting.

    Last night i cleared 2 obstacles. I got 6 and 0. This morning i cleared another one and got 4. You may be on to something here.

  3. #3
    Pro Member Nokes's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    531
    I'll have to watch - seems to make sense, and wouldn't really bother me that it wasn't random. I don't think the spawn rate is random either - is it every 8 hours or something like that? Or 8 hours and 2 minutes by Supercell time
    Co-Leader: SVSU Cardinals Th11 Lvl 134 Highest Trophies: 3469
    25 Lava GG: 900 mil+ AQ:35 BK:30 GW:5 Started 4/13 (in-game gems only)
    Boom Beach: HQ20, Lvl 55, TF "WB LAKERS" #2C9Y8UPG Started: 1/10/15 (in-game diamonds only)
    PSC 74 RR 50 GBE 42/17/17/17 TD 31/12/12 TH 29

  4. #4
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Posts
    5,838
    If this is true then...then...


    Erm, what will it mean?


    I wonder if SC is gonna change it to something more random?

  5. #5
    Junior Member
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Posts
    63
    100 obstacles isn't really all that much... probably the conclusion that 0 gems comes more often than others is correct but for the rest you can't really tell from that
    - Rockspice -
    Clan: Finland K17

  6. #6
    Junior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Posts
    63
    Quote Originally Posted by Rockspice View Post
    100 obstacles isn't really all that much... probably the conclusion that 0 gems comes more often than others is correct but for the rest you can't really tell from that
    When it's not random, you can.

  7. #7
    He who has not yet claimed his title dahimi's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    Hello Kitty Adventure Island
    Posts
    10,808
    100 obstacles is plenty to determine a repeating pattern of 20 occurring on two different accounts.

  8. #8
    Millennial Club DroogJanus's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    1,113
    Who cares?

  9. #9
    He who has not yet claimed his title dahimi's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    Hello Kitty Adventure Island
    Posts
    10,808
    Quote Originally Posted by DroogJanus View Post
    Who cares?
    I do.

    10 characters.

  10. #10
    Millennial Club Gunkar's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Posts
    1,364
    i've started to keep my oak/mapple on my map...

    i've seen this on a base and it pretty look awesome

    i'm wondering if it will affect the spawn rate gem?

    if it is by collecting them or the order they spawn

    || Maxed from TH8 || 250 legos || GG : 600M || EE : 660M || HH : 1.8M ||
    || best trophy count : 2617? || lvl : irrelevant || Sleeping with Bonnie & Clyde Leader ||

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •