really supercell really???

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Originally Posted by ilovehayday

Okay, glad I am not the only one trying to find meaning in it. I am in stats right now and I do indeed get a value of less than 5% (much MUCH less than 5%, though, it's between 0 and 1). I think the 33% chance is incorrect because you're right, we have no idea the number of possibilities in the outcome, but assuming that IS the possibility, then yes, the number is indeed less than 5. Something is amiss here and I just wanted to review the math. Here I am on Spring Break and math nerd me just can't go do something else! lol

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Ah a fellow math nerd. I was so close to a degree in secondary education in math, but I had another baby and two with autism. Something told me they needed me more than a bunch of high school kids who hated math anyway.

Another thing we don't know is how many tractors are in the mix. The actual odds are immeasurable because there is an infinite number of pixelated bits, since they don't cost anything to begin with. You are right, the 33% is ludicrous as nowhere does it say anything about what's actually in the mix?! just that in that particular package a tractor is possible, not probable but possible. What was it that Aristotle said, a probable impossibility is preferable to an improbable possibility. Oh well.

Wow. Tough room.

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Originally Posted by ladam3

I'm new so I would say I'm wrong BUT, if everything is random then how, when I have a boat order coming and I've see all day others getting boat orders for 3X16 do my little people suddenly come ask for huge amounts of bread???? Like 20.

How when I finally sell my silo expension things when I cannot find the one thing I need do I suddenly start getting that one silo thing I needed after the other 2 items are gone. I don't think anything is random - brilliantly programmed - not random.

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Originally Posted by woolala

Your little ppl ask for the stuff you have the most (some say top2 some say top3) and the stuff you have none. In terms of quantity it's about 1/3 or 2/3 of your inventory. My guess is, you stored tens of bread (30 - 60 perhaps?) for the upcoming ship order and that's why little ppl ask for it.

I agree with you on the SEM and BEMs. Don't think it's random, and do believe you can manipulate the system if you have a feeder farm. Hee hee hee

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Agree: SC's randomness is not so 'random' or is this just 'perception' too ?
No doubt :rolleyes:

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Originally Posted by Tiggerr129

You say that those who never bought diamonds have whatever they want and those that buy a lot never get what they want. I know you seriously don't think that is really true. Buying diamonds doesn't decrease your chances of getting what you want. They only thing that does is wanting less. I don't play the game for the decorations. What means more to me is achieving the level I want and playing the game. ...Once it is bought or won, it is over.

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Tiggerr I agree with everything you've said on this thread and couldn't have put it better myself. When I won a pearl I was really excited for about half an hour and then I was like "OK well that's sat there then..." You're right - once it's done the fun is all over. The pearl doesn't DO anything, it doesn't give you Tom for free or halve your production times, or make giant fish spring onto your lure, it just sits there going "look, I had a bit of luck once, apparently..."

Just enjoy the chase. :)

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Originally Posted by alcibiades

Gee, thanx for that piece of constructive advice. :eek: I guess, you're right, I will quit ... this discussion, because I guess when you find something that doesn't work optimally, it's better to just sit passively with your hands in your lap and nod in consent, instead of pointing out that there are issues and that game might actually benefit from a change to adjust.

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Originally Posted by ladam3

Wow. Tough room.

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Tough room indeed. Tough headmistress...or is that Master of Math/Stats and all things HD?

This started out as a simple post querying the fact that an offer is not necessarily a genuine offer...ie; the BRT advertised at the top of Ad to make you 'believe' you actually have a chance at getting one is plain dodgy. Same for the Pearl and mystery nets.

Coming down all 'hard and heavy' on someone posting a genuine question is a bit over the top.

Likewise telling them to quit their game. A bit harsh don't you think? Why so severe?

Have you never had a gripe with any aspect of this game Tigg? :rolleyes:

Not sure what is going on, but preaching isn't teaching as you well know...Where is the kind, patient spirit I used to know so well? Why so damn literal....what happened to lateral? (Considering the emotional element too?)

Lastly folks...try addressing the OP (or all posters) directly...its kinda rude talking about someone ('s posts) as if they arent in the room imo.

This whole thread has left me baffled...and thats not from being statistically challenged either (I'm not btw)...its the lack of absolute thoughtlessness that bothers me.

Alcibiades, Im sorry you got lectures instead of receiving more 'considered' and constructive posts... :(

I agree. The rants on here against simple questions is getting a bit much and I've only been on here for about a month. Maybe I need to go back to learning on my own. I've also been slapped down. Not necessary.

Having all my gift cards disappear, reporting it, having nothing restored - just told I must have ordered something (I didn't!) I've learned there is little to no help from the actual game keepers other than to repeat my own question back to me over and over as though I don't speak clearly. Anyway, having finally accumulated a whooping 20 cards (after the previous 30 going somehwhere but no one knows where) for filling numberous crates and multiple waterings, I ordered my 20 card gift and got.....wait for it......a saw. A little disappointed but I guess I'm a math idiot and cant' comprehend it all. Anyway, you are right, way too much talking down to on here. When I ask something or when I vent I don't need someone doing that. I'm glad I'm not the only one receiving it or seeing it happen to others.

I didn't read any of the posts as rants to be honest - I just thought it was a discussion. Ah the perils of type... :(

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Originally Posted by TheDonsta

This started out as a simple post querying the fact that an offer is not necessarily a genuine offer...ie; the BRT advertised at the top of Ad to make you 'believe' you actually have a chance at getting one is plain dodgy. Same for the Pearl and mystery nets.

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You do have a chance of getting one.
Every one is entitled to their opinion, and it's sad to see people being personally attacked because of theirs.