What are the chances of getting one? How do you get an x-mas tree? When you get one, does it stay there forever or only for this version. I know this thread has been posted but i want a clear answer.
Printable View
What are the chances of getting one? How do you get an x-mas tree? When you get one, does it stay there forever or only for this version. I know this thread has been posted but i want a clear answer.
Clear all your current trees and bushes. That's all I do and I have three. They will remain also. The trees from last Xmas are still around on some players bases.
Each obstacle that appears 2% chance.Quote:
Originally Posted by afronife
If it runs for 30 days (90 spawns) then 1/6 people will NOT get a tree.
It stays until cleared.
Clearing costs 25K, returns 75K for 50k gold profit.
30 days. If it ran for 90 nearly everyone would get one.Quote:
Originally Posted by PhilISuppose
techinally if you remove it. it is gone
if this works, thanks for your comments. :D
yes 10 charsQuote:
Originally Posted by afronife
Yes apologies, I meant 90 spawns (30 days) that was how I calculated.Quote:
Originally Posted by dahimi
Lol that is pretty obvious where else would it go?Quote:
Originally Posted by afronife
- some posts are amusing 👍😜
Quote:
Originally Posted by facescraper
doesn't work, i clear everything as soon as they show up or when a builder is free, all i get are bushes and pine trees. my brother got one, chopped it and the next day gets another, really w♥♥♥♥y. w h acky is a banned word? really?
how long did it take you to get an x mas tree
"h@ck" is a banned word.Quote:
Originally Posted by Blackbeard
I've been clearing everything, and don't have an x-mas tree either...
My base is compeletly cleared and I have 4 xmas trees.
the guy who has 3 i think it looks reasonable i heard some great players with some x mas trees. idk if it is true or not. but it looks true. it is only the answer that would probably get a x mas tree. really is kcah a bad word. opposite of the 2 posts above me
what is your clan name? i would like to see if you dont want to tell it is fine with me:cool:
I'm going to be part of that 1/6...:(Quote:
Originally Posted by PhilISuppose
Hope you get a tree, OP!:o
I'm BERZERKER from clan InTheDark. It's random though, just have to get one of the spawning trees to be a xmas one.Quote:
Originally Posted by afronife
what does OP stand for
hopefully it is me... cause every base that is unactive full collectors... they all have an x mas tree which is not cool:mad:
Original Poster. It can also mean Over Powered depending how it is used.Quote:
Originally Posted by afronife
HOGS ARE SO OP!!!! (for example...) :rolleyes:
thanks for telling me plus hogs are op in my oppinion there pretty weak
Obstacle fors every 8 hours, 3 per der, x30 days= 90 obstacles.1/45 people wont get a tree.Quote:
Originally Posted by PhilISuppose
I cant wait for mine. They look hot this year!!
the skeleton one? i dont like the skeleton
did you get an x mas tree yet
Nope. You have a 98% chance of not getting an X-Mas tree every 8 hours, and with 90 spawns, that's .98^90=.16, so 16% or 1/6 chance of not getting a tree.Quote:
Originally Posted by Lohan23
nice math work... how do you create an avatar? i know this is off-topic but i dont want to create another thread. i know how to upload but i haven't seen people show. didnt search mcuh...
You mean a signature? You can ask the people in the "Creativity" subforum for them. I got mine done from MathewWang2012.Quote:
Originally Posted by afronife
OK, perhaps a statistics lesson is in order.Quote:
Originally Posted by Lohan23
We are looking for bases that have 0 Xmas Trees.
90 obstacles created over 30 days.
The chance for an obstacle to be not a tree is 0.98
So the chance for 90 of them to be not a tree is 0.98^90 (that's 0.98x0.98x0.98etc 90 times)
Which is about 1/6.
You're argument is flawed because many people will get more than one tree.
I was going to post the chances of getting 1 2 and 3 trees, but you don't deserve to know!
So many x-mas tree threads. I made the first :D #firsttothescene but it wasn't about spawn rates, it was just god awful ugly
can you still get your money back? :)Quote:
Originally Posted by 966souchou
:confused: I don't understand. It's free, if that's what you're asking.Quote:
Originally Posted by PhilISuppose
I wanna know! Didn't take statistics class yet.Quote:
Originally Posted by PhilISuppose
vinny what was your thread then?
Something about the looks of the X-Mas tree. If you want to find it, you can view his profile and click on "Find Latest Started Threads".Quote:
Originally Posted by afronife
Oh all right :) - assuming 90 obstacles (which is the data we don't know)Quote:
Originally Posted by 966souchou
and assuming 2% are Xmas trees, which we have been told (citation needed)
0 = 16.2% (1/6 discussed before)
1 = 29.8%
2 = 27.1%
3 = 16.2%
4 = 7.2%
5 or more = 3.5%
(0.04% of people will get 8 Xmas trees!)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution
I was being rude - I don't like your sig, sorry.Quote:
Originally Posted by 966souchou
I havent removed anything other than what grows in the middle, which is the same that I've been doing since I started playing and I got 2 now :). Another member in my clan also has 2 and he did remove trees to increase his chances (his words). Another member in my clan has cut his x-trees and keeps getting them! So idk how or why sorry, but i hope you get one if not more. Good luck and Happy Clashing!
face you got a nice base
Thx bro :oQuote:
Originally Posted by afronife
my clan has lvl 6 troops btw.... but dont want to reveal it..
did you just get that photo and signat.
Clear out your base of all obstacles. It'll come eventually.
He's wrong, tell him he's an idiot.Quote:
Originally Posted by TEGU
Just a luckier idiot than me!
Had a funny thought and a calculation.
If there are 90 possible spawns of a Xmas Tree.
With a chance of 2%
And there are 40 Xmas Trees that could be spawned...
There is a 1 in 4,171,387,538,764,530,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000 chance of getting 40 Xmas Trees
Good Luck everyone!
(with apologies I posted to wrong Xmas tree thread the first time)
Haha, i'll have better luck winning the lotto it seems. ;)Quote:
Originally Posted by PhilISuppose
do you have to clear decorations too????
The smaller the total spawn area, the smaller the overall spawn rate. I find it amazing that people post at least one of these threads EVERY day...Quote:
Originally Posted by afronife
i got it 1 time.
Please supercell can you ensure everyone gets a christmas tree by christmas
As a clan leader i'm getting fed up with members whinging that they want a christmas tree and those who have 1 (or even 2) winding them up.
Christmas is a time of peace and goodwill so please deliver some goodwill then I can have some peace.
tc10txs clan leader barmy army
To skew the stats even more.
Some days I have the game on all day in the office and I don't get anything spawned. From 6am until 10 pm I should have seen at least one, or two according to SC.
BTW I got a tree right after the update but my 2nd account still does not.
If you have your buildings / walls / decorations placed so that the obstacle spawn area is smaller or pushed out to the very base perimeter, you probably won't get the one obstacle / 8 hours. This has less to do with online/offline status than with the way obstacles seem to spawn. It seems that when an obstacle tries to spawn somewhere, but fails, it won't randomly relocate to a different spawn site, but the spawn is wasted and the next obstacle will attempt to spawn randomly after another 8 hours.Quote:
Originally Posted by Biz
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rastis
Well that would make sense then. Thanks!
That doesn't sound right at all. Most bases have very little blank space compared to buildings (on my base, it's 80% or so occupied), so by that logic most bases should see one spawn a day or less, but just from personal experience I seem to be averaging about 3 obstacles a day anyway.Quote:
Originally Posted by Rastis
Ironmike
Ex Cinere
I have kept my area clean and have had more than 40 spawns since the winter update. Not one was a Christmas tree. Why not give at least one to everyone...some goodwill and peaceQuote:
Originally Posted by Tc10
I have two now hoping for the third one :rolleyes::o:D
I believe Santa thinks it rude to rub salt in the wounds of the tree-less.Quote:
Originally Posted by MxR081N
There's always one lol:oQuote:
Originally Posted by MxR081N
I have 5 now!! Check them out, I'm in iFarm inc 2.0 and I'm ign is Majestic Swag:p
This was discussed in a obstaclespawning thread some weeks ago, and seemed to be the general consensus (decreased spawn rate as a function of available space). From what I have experienced I net around 1 obstacle per day, and I have forced the spawn limit to the outer perimeter of my base. Try keeping count of your obstacles and do some statistics, I'll start keeping count of my 17-18 remaining obstacles that have yet to spawn.Quote:
Originally Posted by mikeyen
Rastis