Question: EXACTLY how are the number of trophies to be won/lost calculated?

I didn't see this posted anywhere, so I did a statistical regression analysis (R^2=0.989) on a large number of attacks done against people higher and lower cups. I found that the cups you win seems to based off nothing besides the difference in trophies between you and them, not town hall level, not storages or anything else. I found:

# cups won for 3-star = 30 - [cup difference] / 12

You get one-third, or two-thirds, rounded down, for 1-star or 2-star wins.

Simple.

almost garuntee it is calculated server side and we wont find out

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Originally Posted by Charis

I didn't see this posted anywhere, so I did a statistical regression analysis (R^2=0.989) on a large number of attacks done against people higher and lower cups. I found that the cups you win seems to based off nothing besides the difference in trophies between you and them, not town hall level, not storages or anything else. I found:

# cups won for 3-star = 30 - [cup difference] / 12

You get one-third, or two-thirds, rounded down, for 1-star or 2-star wins.

Simple.

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Thank you sir! I did the same but my sample size is likely much smaller than yours (I only get TH10's +/- 20 levels of me). My equation was:

# cups won for 3-star = 28.4 - [cup difference] / 15.8.

But I only got 6 usable data points and only one offer larger than 10 trophies. Your numbers are likley more reliable and the fact that you found fairly even numbers indicates that is the likely forumla.

There has been some recent speculation that player level affected offers, I am glad we found otherwise.

Thank you again Charis.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Charis

I didn't see this posted anywhere, so I did a statistical regression analysis (R^2=0.989) on a large number of attacks done against people higher and lower cups. I found that the cups you win seems to based off nothing besides the difference in trophies between you and them, not town hall level, not storages or anything else. I found:

# cups won for 3-star = 30 - [cup difference] / 12

You get one-third, or two-thirds, rounded down, for 1-star or 2-star wins.

Simple.

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Haha, sorry, I just noticed your reporting of the R squared value, thanks bro, you might have a bit of a bromance coming your way!

I haven't seen anything in the game files. Dahimi was able to create the gem formula by taking data and creating a formula. I guess a similar solution willhave to happen in this case.

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Originally Posted by Dualsabers04

I haven't seen anything in the game files. Dahimi was able to create the gem formula by taking data and creating a formula. I guess a similar solution willhave to happen in this case.

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Yep, Charis did it for us! Read above! Thanks all!

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Originally Posted by Keaton

almost garuntee it is calculated server side and we wont find out

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Almost garuntee[sic] you are an idiot and don't know what you are talking about. It doesn't matter where the calculation happens, it can always be approximated thru statistics (unless of course it is totally random, and even then, there is a prediction) if you have 1 or more results.

Remember the quote from Mark Twain "Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak out and remove all doubt. "

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Originally Posted by NightOwl67

Almost garuntee[sic] you are an idiot and don't know what you are talking about. It doesn't matter where the calculation happens, it can always be approximated thru statistics (unless of course it is totally random, and even then, there is a prediction) if you have 1 or more results.

Remember the quote from Mark Twain "Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak out and remove all doubt. "

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Let's keep it pleasant Owl, I would agree with her, it is probably done server side so we cant access the exact equation through the game files as I suggested, no need to call people names, please consider my favorite quote i think it applies here:

"Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak out and remove all doubt. "

I did some snooping around of people that attacked but didn't revenge me and came across a guy at 1700 attack me a 1550 so it's possible to attack people 150 below you which if you looked at my math befor I think that means its like 21.5 trophies above or below for every one trophie. But I had other people attack me in his range to and it seems that there is no real equation but more of a equation with a bit of randomness so mabey for every 21.5 trophie differance it awards you with 0 to 2 trophies.

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Originally Posted by vinnyXo

I did some snooping around of people that attacked but didn't revenge me and came across a guy at 1700 attack me a 1550 so it's possible to attack people 150 below you which if you looked at my math befor I think that means its like 21.5 trophies above or below for every one trophie. But I had other people attack me in his range to and it seems that there is no real equation but more of a equation with a bit of randomness so mabey for every 21.5 trophie differance it awards you with 0 to 2 trophies.

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IDK vinny, every match that Charis and I recorded seemed to be linearly related based ONLY on trophy difference, with the equation shown in the posts above, if you had some screen shots of matches that you were offered that did not fit this equation we would be very interested!! Please post screen shots of the offer and we will see if it fits the equation or not.

And yes, you can attack people 150 trophies below you.